A Quick Prediction Post
I wanted to get this up now that it’s done. I may blow this out into a larger series with fuller explanations of how I arrived at these win totals, but the short version is that it was roughly the same method as last year’s xRAPM predictions, only using ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus (which is largely the same as xRAPM). I also ran the numbers through the actual schedule, so SOS is somewhat adjusted for. Unfortunately, I wasn’t able to include back-to-backs and their influence into the projections, but this should be a decent projection anyway.