Gulp. Stan Van Gundy to Detroit.

Gulp. Stan Van Gundy to Detroit.
Stan Van Gundy was, to my mind, the best coach available on the market this offseason, and for the last few offseasons frankly. That stance, of course, comes with the caveat that there are many assistant coaches and coaches at different levels of basketball with whom I am unfamiliar and therefore, I exclude from any ...

UARPM100 for 13-14 Updated to Reflect Team Strength

Last post, I mentioned that Kevin Durant was the UARPM100 MVP, and I gave a top 10 list of players in Wins Above Replacement as well. After looking through the numbers, something that occurred to me was that the number of total wins under those numbers didn’t sum up to team level wins. That was primarily ...

Kevin Durant is the UARPM100 MVP

I recently updated my UARPM100 numbers to reflect the end of regular season statistics. You can see the final numbers here. After all the games were played, Kevin Durant was the UARPM100 MVP in my version of Wins Above Replacement (WAR). Durantula provided roughly 21.8 wins over what we’d expect from a replacement level player taking ...

Prior Informed UARPM100 Through Roughly 30 Games

In my last post, I mentioned that I would, from time to time, produce UARPM100 numbers that were prior-informed by xRAPM numbers from Stats for the NBA. Today, after roughly 30 games played for each team, I’ve gone ahead and produced those numbers.  Enjoy!

Another Update to UAR: Introducing UARPM100

Another Update to UAR: Introducing UARPM100
Last time out I explained, in detail, how I calculate Usage Adjusted Rating (a usage adjusted version of Alternate Win Score). I liked the results, but I thought that they could be better. In order to try to better value defense, I decided to try to include a weight to factor in minutes per game ...

Usage Adjusted Rating, Further Explained

Usage Adjusted Rating, Further Explained
Usage Adjusted Rating, as I discussed previously, has Alternate Win Score (AWS) as its base. Alternate Win Score is a simple per minute measure of performance, which has proven to be the best linear weights metric for prediction across high continuity and low continuity contexts. High continuity contexts are situations where a team is the ...

Derrick Rose Hurt Himself Again and Everything is Awful

Derrick Rose Hurt Himself Again and Everything is Awful
Derrick Rose hurt his right knee (the other one, not the one he injured over 18 months ago) in a non-contact injury during the third quarter of tonight’s tilt with the Portland Trailblazers. Rose was just running along normally, making an off-ball cut into the paint on offense and his knee buckled beneath him. I ...

Introducing Another Box-Score Based Stat: Usage Adjusted Rating

Introducing Another Box-Score Based Stat: Usage Adjusted Rating
I recently began tinkering with a new boxscore based catch-all stat after reading a post on the APBR metrics board. The post, by a poster named v-zero, indicated that he had come up with a simple formula for including a usage and efficiency tradeoff in linear weights based metrics. This immediately got me thinking about ...

Vantage Sports is here and it will blow your mind

Vantage Sports is here and it will blow your mind
There’s been quite a lot of talk in the NBA blogosphere and on basketball Twitter about SportsVU- the optical tracking technology the NBA purchased and installed in all 29 arenas- recently. The NBA released a few morsels of interesting information- measures of assist opportunities, drives, and rim protection being the primary headliners. What the NBA ...

Friday Night Films: Kevin Love to Corey Brewer is a Beautiful Thing

Friday Night Films: Kevin Love to Corey Brewer is a Beautiful Thing
When I was on the Bulls vs Blazers podcast a few days ago, I recommended the Mavericks-Timberwolves matchup as my game of the week to watch. Both teams are high powered offenses that offer little in the way of defensive personnel. I expected a high scoring game, with plenty of well-spaced offensive sets and the ...